At the stroke of 10 p.m. Nevada caucus sites officially closed and CNN projected that Mitt Romney had won by double-digits. About four minutes later, the New York Times did the same. In the cable-news-era tradition of projecting election victories off entrance/exit polls and incomplete vote results, only about 8 percent of precincts were reporting at the time, according to the Nevada GOP. Right now, we're up to 14.3 percent of precincts reporting with Romney leading second-place Newt Gingrich 37-29. Which is, however, less than Romney's margin of victory in Florida.
At the time of writing this post, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum are trailing with 19 and 15 percent, respectively. In a few hours these numbers could be very different (see here for up-to-date results), but Romney has already kicked off his anti-Obama-heavy victory speech. As for Gingrich, he won't be holding a "45 States to Go" rally tonight. Rather, a press conference where he is expected to lay out a new delegate strategy, likely one that involves him nibbling away enough of them to cost Romney the required 1,144.
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Filed Under: politics ,gop 2012 ,mitt romney ,nevada caucuses ,mitt romney wins again ,a mormon in the white house
Rick Santorum may be a non-entity in today's Nevada caucuses, but he is the only Republican candidate actually besting President Obama in a match-up (45-44), according to Rasmussen's latest presidential tracking poll. Mitt Romney, on the other hand, would lose (47-43). [Rasmussen]
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Filed Under: politics ,gop 2012 ,rick santorum ,presidential match-up ,mitt romney ,president barack obama
Only about 6 percent of precincts are reporting right now and, sure, Newt Gingrich is trailing Mitt Romney 40-20 (with Ron Paul at a strong 26), but the night is still young, folks. So even though the former Speaker is expected to lose handily tonight, it did seem a little premature of the Times's Trip Gabriel to be repeating rumors of a possible Gingrich withdrawal, based almost solely on the fact that he scheduled a press conference rather than a more-traditional rally for tonight, and because of his "light schedule of public appearances in Nevada." When reached by the Washington Times this afternoon, Gingrich rejected the notion and even added (not terribly convincingly) that "Super Tuesday and beyond look good." R.C. Hammond, Gingrich's spokesperson, was also having none of it, tweeting: "NYT showing once again why they are unfit for print. Gingrich to campaign in CO, MN & OH this week. CPAC on Friday."
In Gabriel's defense, he himself lists Gingrich's upcoming schedule before closing with the line: "It doesn’t sound like a candidate preparing to drop out."
Still, there are at least two high-profile Nevadans who've made news today, either for clamoring for a Gingrich exit or simply for alluding to a post-Gingrich race. The first, Representative Joe Heck, a Romney surrogate, told a press gathering earlier today that "It's time for [Gingrich] to withdraw gracefully." The second figure, surprisingly, is Sheldon Adelson. Adelson is now perhaps best known as the deep-pocketed Vegas casino magnate who, along with his wife, largely bankrolled Gingrich's rise to victory in South Carolina two weeks ago. But he is getting nervous that no other one percenters have joined him in supporting the former Speaker and even spoke on the phone with Mitt Romney recently, reports the Times in a separate story today. The lede of that article asserts that Adelson has "relayed assurances to Mitt Romney that he will provide even more generous support to his candidacy if he becomes the Republican nominee."
One of Adelson's friends insists that he's still "committed to keeping [Gingrich] in the race as long as he wants to stay in," but if your staunchest and most financially significant backer is casting around for another horse to bet on, you can be damn well sure it's because he spotted that slight (or not so slight) limp that could well trip you up far before the finish line even comes into view.
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Filed Under: politics ,gop 2012 ,nevada caucuses ,eye of newt ,newt gingrich ,sheldon adelson
"I found that very endearing. Very sweet to have a wife do that for her husband and give that positive energy. I think we all need that in the world. To listen to the news broadcasters ... be negative towards that, I think it is really (bad)." —That's Kellan Lutz, who plays one of the quieter vampires in the Twilight saga, reacting to critics of an e-mail Brazilian supermodel Gisele Bundchen sent asking friends and family to pray for a Super Bowl win for husband Tom Brady of the New England Patriots. Why "Page Six" thought Lutz's opinion was missing from whatever non-debate has been raging we'll never know, so let's just chalk it up to whatever mysterious force compels Post editors to make any number of hard-to-fathom editorial decisions, like using no less than seven feline descriptors in a story about the Catwoman burglar.
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Filed Under: kellan lutz ,gisele bundchen ,super bowl snafu ,tom brady ,twilight ,page six ,random-est page six item ever
A quarter of the voters in today's caucuses in Nevada were Mormons, according to entrance polls conducted by Edison Research, which is pretty much the minimum proportion of votes Mitt Romney can expect to get since 98 percent of Mormon caucusgoers went for him in 2008. While his total in the gambling-prostitution-and-everything-goes state is likely to be at least as high as his 51 percent win four years ago, we'll have to wait about an hour and a half before watching that particular bit of political theater play out. That's when Google's election page and the Nevada GOP's Twitter feed start releasing final results. As for all you political junkies and those with nothing better to do on a Saturday evening, get ready to crack open a Red Bull and start feverishly refreshing your browsers every ten seconds. You definitely don't want to miss the moment when that one infinitesimally small precinct nudges your favorite candidate's vote tally just that little bit higher.
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Filed Under: politics ,gop 2012 ,nevada caucuses ,a mormon in the white house ,mormons ,mitt romney